Home Investing and Finance Is a margin-call induced inventory market selloff imminent? – Funding Watch

Is a margin-call induced inventory market selloff imminent? – Funding Watch


by mark000

Looking very likely…

A historic global bond-market crash threatens liquidation of the world’s most crowded trades, says BofA

‘If the bond market does not function, then no other market functions, really,’ say Ben Emons of Medley Global Advisors

Global government-bond markets are stuck in what BofA Securities analysts are calling one of the greatest bear markets ever and this is in turn threatening the ease with which investors will be able to exit from the world’s most-crowded trades, if needed.Those trades include positions in the dollar, U.S. technology companies and private equity, said BofA strategists Michael Hartnett, Elyas Galou, and Myung-Jee Jung. Bonds are generally regarded as one of the most liquid asset classes available to investors. If liquidity dries up in that market, it’s bad news for just about every other form of investment, other analysts said.Financial markets have yet to price in the worst-case outcomes for inflation, interest rates, and the economy around the world, despite tumbling global equities along with a selloff of bonds in the U.S. and the U.K. On Friday, the Dow industrials sank almost 500 points and flirted with a fall into bear-market territory, while the S&P 500 index stopped short of ending the New York session below its June closing low.

GS now predicting another 75 bps hike by Fed in early November… 50 bps in December… and 25 bps in February…bringing Feds funds rate to 4.75%… this is a higher rate outlook than priced in by the market… Fed raising rates hard into a recession and a rapidly weakening housing market… fasten seatbelts…

Snider: Rapid dollar tightening continues to wreck currencies and economies around the world.

EMEs are facing a rapid tightening of external financial conditions, capital outflows, currency depreciations and reserve losses simultaneously

This Bad.

Dr. Doom predicted the 2008 recession, and says a ‘long and ugly recession’ is coming this year

Powell has a tough message for investors: Tighten your seatbelts, because recession and unemployment are coming



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